In the second week of March, average electricity prices across major European markets increased compared to the previous week, with the exception of the IPEX market in Italy, which saw a 4.7% drop. The N2EX market in the United Kingdom experienced the smallest increase at 6.1%, while the Nord Pool market in the Nordic countries saw a significant rise of 264%. Prices in other markets analyzed by AleaSoft Energy Forecasting rose between 18% in Germany’s EPEX SPOT market and 33% in France’s EPEX SPOT market.
During the week of March 10, weekly average prices surpassed €100/MWh in most major European markets. However, the Nordic market, along with the MIBEL market in Portugal and Spain, had lower averages, with €63.40/MWh, €79.57/MWh, and €80.27/MWh, respectively. The Italian market reached the highest weekly average at €117.38/MWh. Other markets saw prices ranging from €100.69/MWh in France to €113.82/MWh in the UK.
Despite the overall increase in weekly averages, prices fell during the final days of the week. On Sunday, March 16, the Nordic market recorded its lowest price of the week at €15.59/MWh, while the Italian market saw its lowest price since September 30, 2024, at €86.08/MWh. The Dutch market also experienced a low of €69.87/MWh on the same day, marking its lowest price since January 28, 2025.
The increase in electricity prices during the week of March 10 was driven by rising electricity demand and a drop in wind energy production across Europe, combined with a decline in solar energy output in some markets. Additionally, CO2 prices increased, and gas prices recovered, surpassing €40/MWh after dropping below that level in the previous week’s final sessions. However, in Italy, the fall in demand and the increase in wind energy production contributed to the market’s price decline.
AleaSoft Energy Forecasting predicts that electricity prices will decrease in most European markets during the third week of March, driven by a rise in wind energy production. Additionally, solar energy output is expected to increase in Germany, and electricity demand will drop in several markets, AleaSoft reports.
