Looking ahead, the National Strategy and Forecasting Commission (CNSP) anticipates a gradual increase in natural gas production at an average annual rate of 1.7% through 2027. The latest Energy Balance Forecast projects production figures to rise to about 7.79 million tons of oil equivalent in 2025, followed by further increases to approximately 7.907 million tons in 2026 and reaching around 8.176 million tons by 2027.
However, the outlook for imports suggests a downward trend as early as 2026, with forecasts predicting a decline to about 2.15 million tons of oil equivalent, representing a decrease of 2.7%. By 2027, this figure is expected to drop further to approximately 2.022 million tons, indicating a contraction of around 6%. This anticipated reduction is attributed to enhanced domestic production capabilities and ongoing efforts to facilitate transit to foreign markets.
Overall, while Romania experienced a substantial uptick in natural gas imports during 2025, strategic planning for new capacities and steady production growth are expected to mitigate reliance on imported gas over the coming years. This shift is likely to foster a more balanced natural gas market within the region, aligning with broader energy policy goals aimed at enhancing energy security and sustainability in Romania and Southeast Europe.
