IPA

Southeast European electricity prices could ease in Q4 2026 and Q1 2027 if nuclear capacity returns and hydro inflows improve. Gas costs and transmission constraints are expected to sustain premiums during tight periods.

Cernavodă Unit 1 is scheduled to resynchronise on 6 November after more than three months offline. Its availability, alongside other reactor restarts and outages, will shape winter import needs and power prices across Southeast Europe.

Drought is reducing hydroelectric output and constraining nuclear generation across the Balkans, increasing exposure to electricity imports. The pressure highlights the role of diversified generation, storage and interconnection.