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Region: Electricity prices rise across SEE in Week 29 of 2025 amid heatwave and shifting generation mix

In Week 29 of 2025, electricity market prices increased across all Southeast European (SEE) countries compared to the previous week, with all markets maintaining weekly average prices above €90/MWh, except for Türkiye. This rise was driven by higher electricity demand due to a return of hot temperatures after a brief mild period, combined with reduced renewable energy production in most markets. Prices started the week above €100/MWh in most SEE countries but declined slightly by Friday before ending around €77/MWh.

Italy and Croatia experienced the largest percentage increases in electricity prices, with rises of 8.76% and 7.50% respectively. Greece followed with a 7.06% increase, while Bulgaria and Romania recorded growths of 7.05% and 6.49%.

During the third week of July 2025, Central European electricity markets also saw a rise in weekly average spot prices. Most major countries recorded prices around €85/MWh, ranging between €61/MWh and €100/MWh. Slovenia was the most expensive market at €96.76/MWh, showing a 7.91% increase from the previous week, closely followed by Slovakia at the same price level. France had the lowest price in the region at €60.89/MWh, but with a significant weekly jump of 21.88%.

European weekly average electricity prices hovered near €92/MWh, ranging from €60.89/MWh in France to €117.89/MWh in Italy. On July 20, France recorded the lowest daily average price at €20.58/MWh, while Italy reached the highest daily average of €122.52/MWh on July 15. In the MIBEL markets, Spain and Portugal saw slight price increases, both reaching €77.80/MWh.

Electricity demand in the SEE region rose by 2.81% compared to the previous week, totaling 17,668.01 GWh. This growth reversed the earlier downward trend and was fueled by a new heatwave increasing air conditioning use. Italy and Croatia led the demand increase with 7.22% and 4.77% growth, respectively, followed by Greece at 3.24% and Serbia at 2.96%. Hungary’s demand grew by 1.40%, while Romania was the only country to experience a decline of 1.82%.

Electricity generation from variable renewables in SEE dropped by 9.1%, totaling 3,634.37 GWh. This decrease was mainly due to a significant fall in solar output, which declined by 17.2%, with Italy experiencing the largest drop of 27.8%. Wind generation increased by 5.1% to 1,513.24 GWh, thanks to higher output in Italy and Türkiye, which added 192.20 GWh overall. Hydropower generation also declined by 14.85%, largely because of reductions in all SEE countries except Serbia and Romania, where production rose by 29.40% and 9.24%, respectively. Hungary and Italy saw the largest hydropower decreases of 43.40% and 34.44%.

Thermal power generation in the SEE region fell by 4.97% to 8,358.17 GWh despite the higher electricity demand. Coal-fired generation dipped slightly by 0.93% to 3,507.45 GWh, while gas-fired generation decreased by 7.69% to 4,850.72 GWh. Notably, Türkiye’s coal generation rose by 1.43%, though its gas-fired output dropped by 3.44%. Bulgaria saw a 19.70% increase in coal generation but a 7.09% fall in gas generation. Greece’s coal-fired output grew by 31.97%, accompanied by a 3.48% rise in gas-fired generation.

Cross-border electricity trade in the SEE region showed higher net imports in Week 29, increasing by 19.84% to 1,280.28 GWh compared to the previous week. However, electricity exports declined by 27.2%, falling to 171.18 GWh, while total imports rose by 11.3%, reaching 1,451.45 GWh. Romania, Italy, and Croatia recorded significant increases in net imports of 54.03%, 13.81%, and 5.55%, respectively. Hungary experienced a sharp decrease in net imports of 32.39%. Greece and Bulgaria continued exporting but at reduced levels, with net exports down by 41.65% and 58.09%. Türkiye increased its net exports by 10.77%. Serbia transitioned into a net electricity exporter during this period, recording net exports of 23.52 GWh.

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