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Hydrogen metallurgy: Europe’s industrial future and Serbia’s strategic opportunity

Europe’s decarbonisation agenda is accelerating faster in steel and metallurgy than in almost any other heavy industry. The European Green Deal, CBAM implementation, rising carbon costs, corporate ESG commitments, and trade-policy alignment with global decarbonisation frameworks have fundamentally changed the economics of metal production. Steel, aluminium, copper and high-alloy materials are all moving toward electrification, circularity and low-carbon production. But nowhere is the transformation more profound than in steelmaking — specifically the shift from traditional blast furnaces toward hydrogen-based direct reduced iron (DRI), electric-arc furnaces (EAF), hybrid smelting units and emerging high-temperature hydrogen metallurgy pathways.

For Europe, hydrogen metallurgy is not an optional technology. It is the only viable route to produce competitive, decarbonised steel at scale. And the transition will require tens of billions of dollars in new infrastructure, process redesign, equipment integration, automation upgrades, grid reinforcement, renewable-power PPAs and hydrogen-delivery systems. Yet, as with other strategic-material sectors, the limiting factor is once again engineering capacity. Europe simply does not have enough metallurgical-process engineers, furnace designers, automation specialists, HV/MV electrical experts or systems-integration professionals to redesign its steel plants fast enough.

This is where Serbia’s role becomes structurally significant. Serbia has the engineering density, multidisciplinary industrial heritage, energy-infrastructure expertise and geographic positioning to become a core part of Europe’s hydrogen-metallurgy ecosystem — not as a location of mega-steel plants, but as the engineering, testing, simulation, integration and modular-manufacturing hub supporting Europe’s decarbonised metal production.

Serbia does not need to host large hydrogen-based DRI complexes to matter. The country’s strength lies instead in the engineering ecosystem required to model, design, test, automate and integrate hydrogen processes across Europe’s steel industry. This ecosystem can be built into a powerful export platform: one where Serbian engineers design hydrogen burners for Austrian DRI lines, simulate furnace-heat transfer for German hybrids, program automation logic for Dutch EAF complexes, build protection schemes for Italian HV/MV metallurgical loads, and develop digital twins for Scandinavian steelmakers deploying novel hydrogen technologies.

Hydrogen metallurgy requires an engineering depth beyond conventional metallurgy. Hydrogen behaves differently than natural gas or coke-derived gases; it alters reduction kinetics, furnace flame profiles, thermal balance, byproduct chemistry and material stress patterns. Designing hydrogen-ready DRI units, hydrogen burners for reheating furnaces, hybrid melting systems, EAF integration for low-carbon feedstock, and fluidised-bed reactors is a frontier engineering problem. Serbia is one of the few near-shore locations with the technical infrastructure and labour pool to supply such specialised engineering at scale.

The strategic logic becomes clearer when considering Europe’s steel geography. The majority of hydrogen-mature steelmakers are located in Scandinavia, Germany, Austria, the Netherlands, France and Italy. These regions are experiencing acute engineering shortages, rising labour costs, and intense competition for engineering talent as hydrogen projects multiply. Serbia offers the opposite profile: deep engineering capacity, competitive labour costs, EU-regulatory alignment, geographic proximity, cultural compatibility and rapidly expanding exposure to energy-transition projects. As Europe scales hydrogen metallurgy, Serbian engineering integration will become indispensable.

But Serbia’s role is not limited to engineering outsourcing. The country can become a hydrogen-metallurgy development cluster — a location where testing of hydrogen burners, pilot DRI reactors, materials-performance studies, heat-distribution modelling, slag chemistry analysis and automation prototyping can occur. Pilot-scale hydrogen-metallurgy infrastructure is rare in Europe because of cost, permitting complexity, safety requirements and operational overhead. Serbia can build such pilot clusters more flexibly than EU states, offering accelerated permitting, specialised zones and engineering support. These clusters would serve European equipment suppliers, steelmakers and hydrogen-technology developers — becoming the Balkan Innovation Belt for hydrogen metallurgy.

Over time, Serbia could specialise in hybrid steel and metal processes rather than full primary steelmaking. These include pre-reduction units, briquetting, scrap-processing optimisation, ferroalloy hydrogenisation, electric smelting furnaces for specialty steels, and hydrogen-ready reheating systems for metalworking. These processes require high-intensity engineering but moderate CAPEX relative to full DRI complexes. Serbia can meaningfully contribute to Europe’s low-carbon metal supply chain by refining intermediate materials — such as sponge iron, hot-briquetted iron (HBI), ferroalloys and high-purity recycled feedstock — that feed EAFs across the continent.

The Balkan region is also a natural hydrogen-corridor of the future, connecting Eastern Mediterranean renewable-hydrogen hubs, Turkish electrolysis, Balkan hydropower and Central European consumption zones. Serbia’s geography makes it a critical node in this corridor. Infrastructure investments in hydrogen pipelines, compressor stations, electrolyzer clusters and underground storage will reshape regional energy flows. Industrial clusters near these hydrogen corridors will have cost advantages for hydrogen-intensive metallurgy. Serbia can create hydrogen-ready industrial zones near Belgrade, Pančevo, Smederevo, Niš and across central Serbia — zones in which investors can deploy hydrogen-mature furnaces, burners, reactors and processing units without facing the grid congestion or permitting constraints common in EU member states.

Serbia’s role in hydrogen metallurgy also intersects with its strengths in HV/MV industrial integration. Hydrogen metallurgical facilities require entirely new power-infrastructure designs: electrified furnaces, massive induction loads, rapid power modulation, advanced protections, stability controls and integration with renewable PPAs. These are not trivial engineering tasks. Serbia’s power-engineering workforce — with long experience in substations, transformers, transmission planning and industrial-load studies — is already supporting European industry in this transition. As hydrogen-ready EAFs and hybrid furnaces proliferate, Serbia’s expertise will be increasingly valued.

Another dimension is automation. Hydrogen metallurgical systems require unprecedented levels of automation, both for safety and performance. Serbia’s PLC/SCADA workforce, already integrated into European industrial automation ecosystems, is well-suited to develop the next generation of metallurgical control systems. These include hydrogen-supply modulation, real-time furnace optimisation, reduction-rate control, oxygen–hydrogen combustion balancing, emissions minimisation and plant-wide digital twin integration. As hydrogen becomes a dominant industrial gas, Serbia’s automation sector will be constructing the nervous system of Europe’s low-carbon metallurgy.

Critically, Serbia can also help Europe solve its scrap bottleneck — an often-overlooked element of green steel production. EAF steelmaking relies heavily on high-quality scrap, yet Europe will face scrap-quality shortages as demand for virgin-quality feedstock increases. Serbia can develop high-precision scrap-processing clusters that prepare feedstock for hydrogen-enabled steel plants: sorting, shredding, delamination, impurity removal, and blending. These clusters require more engineering than capital and can be located in Serbia’s industrial zones, giving European steelmakers a stable feedstock partner.

Hydrogen metallurgy is not only a technological challenge but a materials-science challenge. Hydrogen embrittlement, diffusion behaviour, microstructural instability and high-temperature interactions with steel require sophisticated testing capabilities. Serbia can build metallurgical laboratories specialising in hydrogen-material interactions, offering services to European steelmakers and equipment suppliers. These labs could anchor Serbia’s scientific leadership in hydrogen metallurgy, complementing engineering services and cluster development.

Longer term, Serbia can integrate into the ferroalloy segment of hydrogen-enabled metallurgy. Hydrogen-reduced ferroalloys, hydrogen-ready electric smelting furnaces and green manganese/ferrosilicon processes will become central to Europe’s metallurgical supply chain. Serbia’s engineering and potential industrial zones can host pilot and small-scale ferroalloy units focused on low-carbon production for European specialty-steel mills.

All of these developments are possible because Serbia has something rare: engineering and industrial capability aligned with Europe’s most urgent decarbonisation bottleneck. Europe will be unable to scale hydrogen metallurgy if it lacks the engineering power to design, integrate and operate these systems. Serbia can supply that engineering power — and host strategically important pilot-scale and commercial-scale processes.

By 2035, the most realistic outcome is a multi-layered Serbian hydrogen-metallurgy ecosystem:
– engineering-design centres supplying Europe;
– hydrogen-metallurgy pilot clusters;
– modular DRI pre-processing or hybrid metallurgical units;
– hydrogen-ready furnace and burner integration hubs;
– advanced lab capabilities for hydrogen–metal interactions;
– industrial zones with hydrogen and electrified metallurgical loads;
– scrap-processing and recycling clusters feeding European EAFs.

Serbia will not replace Germany, Sweden or Austria as steelmaking giants. But Serbia will become a critical enabling force — a supplier of engineering, components, automation, knowledge, pre-processing, testing and specialised metallurgy that allows Europe’s hydrogen-steel industry to exist at all.

Hydrogen metallurgy is the technological frontier of Europe’s industrial transition. Serbia is uniquely positioned to occupy the frontier’s most important support role: the engineering backbone.

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