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Region: Electricity prices and demand decline across Southeast Europe in Week 28 of 2025

In Week 28 of 2025, electricity market prices declined across all Southeast European (SEE) countries compared to the previous week, falling below €100/MWh in all markets except Italy. This decrease was driven by milder temperatures reducing electricity demand and increased solar energy production across most markets. The week began with prices exceeding €100/MWh in all SEE countries but gradually fell to around €70/MWh by the end of the week. Croatia and Italy experienced the largest percentage drops in electricity prices at -17.50% and -11.76%, respectively. Hungary followed with an 11.55% decrease, while Serbia, Bulgaria, and Greece recorded smaller declines of -8.74%, -7.74%, and -3.84%, respectively.

In Central Europe, weekly average spot electricity prices also trended downward during the second week of July, with most major markets recording prices around €83/MWh. Slovakia was the most expensive market, averaging €94.36/MWh, which was an 8.82% decrease from the previous week, followed closely by Slovenia at €92.47/MWh. France had the lowest price in the region at €49.96/MWh, marking a significant weekly drop of 33.83%. In the Iberian MIBEL markets, prices declined modestly, with Spain experiencing a 15.73% decrease to €77.28/MWh and Portugal recording a 15.33% decline to €77.64/MWh.

Southern European countries all posted prices below €100/MWh except for Italy, which remained the highest at €108.38/MWh despite an 11.76% price drop. Türkiye recorded the lowest weekly average price at €61.33/MWh, followed by Bulgaria at €89.41/MWh. Hungary ranked as the second most expensive market in the SEE region with an average price of €93.74/MWh. Daily price peaks in most SEE markets occurred on Monday, July 7th, with the lowest prices recorded on Sunday, July 13th.

Electricity demand in the SEE region decreased by 3.5% compared to the previous week, reversing the upward trend seen earlier as the heatwave subsided and temperatures normalized. Italy and Croatia experienced the largest drops in electricity demand, at -16.05% and -15.26%, respectively, followed by declines in Serbia and Hungary. Conversely, Bulgaria and Romania saw slight increases in demand, while Türkiye’s demand grew notably by 9.16%.

Renewable electricity generation from variable sources in SEE declined slightly by 0.8% compared to the prior week, totaling 3,999.58 GWh. This slight decrease was largely due to a 12.8% reduction in wind power generation, amounting to 1,439.14 GWh, with Türkiye’s lower wind output (321.46 GWh) significantly impacting the region’s total wind production. In contrast, solar generation increased by 7.4% week-on-week, reaching 2,560.44 GWh, with Italy posting the highest solar growth at 37.7%. Hydropower production also rose sharply by 24.89%, totaling 2,910.30 GWh, driven by growth in nearly all SEE countries except Romania and Bulgaria. Hungary and Italy recorded the largest hydropower output increases at 77.80% and 53.14%, respectively, while Romania and Bulgaria experienced declines of 33.15% and 25.71%.

Thermal electricity generation in SEE markets increased by 3.02% despite the overall lower demand. Total thermal output reached 8,795.19 GWh, with both coal- and gas-fired generation rising. Coal-fired generation grew by 4.82% to 3,540.48 GWh, and gas-fired generation increased by 1.84% to 5,254.71 GWh. Türkiye saw a 2.75% rise in coal generation and a substantial 33.93% increase in gas-fired output. Meanwhile, Bulgaria’s coal and gas generation declined by 4.20% and 7.62%, respectively. Greece’s coal electricity generation fell sharply by 45.88%, accompanied by a slight 1.14% rise in gas-fired electricity production.

Regarding cross-border electricity trade, net electricity imports in the SEE region rose slightly by 1.88% in Week 28 compared to the previous week, totaling 1,168.41 GWh. However, electricity exports plunged by 33.4% to 235.21 GWh, while imports declined by 6.4% to 1,403.62 GWh. Serbia, Croatia, and Romania experienced significant decreases in net imports, with drops of 88.00%, 38.76%, and 28.18%, respectively. In contrast, Italy saw a 10.79% increase in net electricity imports. Greece, Bulgaria, and Türkiye maintained their exporting activities but recorded lower net exports, decreasing by 61.58%, 17.35%, and 13.07%, respectively.

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