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Europe: EU considers gas price cap amid rising costs and industry concerns

The European Union is considering new measures to temporarily cap natural gas prices, which have recently reached record highs compared to those in the United States. This week, European gas prices hit their highest levels in over two years, driven in part by low temperatures and a lack of wind, which disrupted renewable energy production. As a result, gas prices in Europe are currently three to four times higher than in the US, placing European companies at a significant disadvantage.

The European Commission is contemplating this price cap as part of discussions for the upcoming Clean Industrial Agreement policy document, expected to be revealed next month. This strategic document is intended to address ways to support the EU’s heavy industries, which are grappling with multiple challenges, including aggressive trade policies from former US President Donald Trump and the ambitious EU green transition. Although the price cap talks are still in the early stages, they have raised concerns among industry groups. These groups warn that such a measure could undermine trust in the European market.

In a letter sent to European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, 11 groups, including Europex (an association of European energy exchanges) and AFME (a financial markets lobbying group), expressed their concerns. They argued that implementing a gas price cap could negatively impact the stability of European energy markets and the security of gas supply across the continent. The letter further cautioned that a price cap could damage trust in the European benchmark Title Transfer Facility (TTF), the primary hub for gas trading and pricing. It suggested that the cap could prompt the global gas community to shift towards alternative benchmarks, many of which are located outside the EU and are seen as more reflective of market conditions.

The EU first proposed a similar price cap in 2022 during the height of the bloc’s energy crisis, triggered by Russia’s disruption of gas supplies following its full-scale invasion of Ukraine. However, the cap was never enacted, as gas prices remained below the 180 euros/MWh benchmark.

EU officials have confirmed that the upcoming plans will also include measures to prevent traders from artificially inflating gas prices during the summer, as European countries stockpile fuel for the following winter. However, some member states are expected to be reluctant to agree to a price cap. Germany and the Netherlands were among the countries that opposed the previous proposal for a cap.

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