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Europe: Brent oil, TTF gas, and EU carbon prices rise amid geopolitical tensions in early September

Brent oil futures for the front month on the ICE market reached their weekly low of $66.02 per barrel on Monday, September 8. This value was higher than the previous Friday and marked the beginning of a series of increases over the following sessions. By September 10, the futures reached their weekly high of $67.49 per barrel. In the final sessions of the week, prices remained below $67, closing at $66.99 per barrel on Friday, September 12, which was 2.3% higher than the previous Friday. Rising geopolitical tensions supported the upward movement, although concerns over demand and planned production increases by OPEC+ limited further gains.

TTF gas futures for the front month on the ICE market opened the week on Monday, September 8, at €33.06/MWh, 3.4% above the previous week’s close. They reached a weekly high of €33.12/MWh on September 10, followed by a drop to €32.32/MWh on September 11, the lowest settlement of the week after a 2.4% decline from the previous day. On Friday, September 12, the settlement price was €32.66/MWh, 2.2% higher than the previous Friday. Prices remained above €32/MWh during the week, supported by tensions in the Middle East and the Russia-Ukraine conflict, while high European gas reserves, near 80%, and completed maintenance in Norway prevented a larger spike toward €34/MWh.

CO2 emission allowance futures for December 2025 on the EEX market remained above €75 per ton throughout the week. The maximum settlement price of €77.16/t was recorded on Monday, September 8, the highest since February 18. Prices then fell to a weekly low of €75.55/t on Thursday, September 11, closing at €75.78/t on Friday, slightly lower than the previous week by 0.3%.

Overall, Brent oil, TTF gas, and EU carbon futures showed moderate increases during the second week of September, influenced by geopolitical tensions, supply concerns, and market fundamentals, AleaSoft reports.

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