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Region: Southeast Europe sees electricity price increases amid rising gas costs

In Week 42 of 2024, electricity market prices in Southeast Europe (SEE) increased overall compared to the previous week, driven by a decline in wind energy production and rising gas prices. Romania and Hungary recorded the largest percentage increases in electricity prices, up 11.27% and 9.01%, respectively. Italy and Bulgaria followed closely with increases of 8.61% and 8.47%. Conversely, Türkiye’s electricity prices dropped by 11.27%, and Greece experienced a slight decrease of 0.67%.

Average spot electricity prices in Central Europe also rose, with prices ranging from €53 to €80/MWh. The Netherlands had the highest price at €80.03/MWh, a 9.08% increase from Week 41, while the Czech Republic followed at €76.75/MWh. France recorded the lowest price in the region at €52.82/MWh, marking a 13.54% rise.

During this period, European weekly averages hovered around €75/MWh, with prices in the French market at €52.82/MWh and in Italy at €116.17/MWh, the latter being the only market exceeding €100/MWh for the second consecutive week. In the Iberian Peninsula, prices were €65.17/MWh in Portugal and €62.41/MWh in Spain.

In the SEE region, all countries except Italy had prices below €100/MWh, ranging from €59 to €116/MWh. Türkiye recorded the lowest price at €59.20/MWh, while Croatia was the second cheapest at €73.33/MWh. Italy’s market had the highest average price of €116.17/MWh, an increase of 8.61% from the previous week. Greece followed with an average price of €78.79/MWh, down 0.67% from Week 41, while Romania was the third most expensive at €78.00/MWh.

Electricity demand in the SEE region increased slightly, rising by 0.81% compared to Week 41, reaching 14,969.44 GWh. While most countries saw higher demand, Greece, Croatia, and Türkiye reported declines. Bulgaria and Serbia experienced the largest demand increases at 7.02% and 4.28%, respectively.

Renewable energy output in SEE surged by 12.5%, reaching 2,656.44 GWh, primarily due to a significant rise in wind generation, which increased by 29.4% to 1,707.51 GWh. Türkiye had the highest wind output increase at 129.4%, while Greece saw a rise of 67.4%. However, Italy, Croatia, and Hungary faced declines in wind generation.

Solar output dropped by 8.9% to 948.92 GWh, with the most significant decreases in Italy and Türkiye, which fell by 30.6% and 11.2%, respectively. Other SEE countries experienced increases in solar production, with Bulgaria achieving the highest output.

Hydropower generation rose by 1.11% to 2,760.12 GWh, mainly due to heavy precipitation in Italy and Romania, which saw increases of 8.63% and 18.47%, respectively. In contrast, Croatia, Greece and Hungary reported declines in hydropower output.

Thermal power generation in SEE fell by 1.5% compared to the previous week, resulting in an output of 6,746.22 GWh. Coal-fired generation increased by 1.35% to 3,406.82 GWh, while gas-fired generation declined by 4.25% to 3,339.40 GWh. Türkiye saw a slight increase in coal generation but a significant drop in gas generation. Bulgaria’s coal and gas generation rose, while Italy’s coal output decreased but gas generation increased.

Regarding cross-border electricity trade, net imports in the SEE region fell by 10.58% to 1,097.39 GWh. Exports from the region decreased by 22.0%, totaling 148.88 GWh, while imports fell by 12.1% to 1,246.27 GWh. Greece and Italy saw significant declines in net imports. Serbia and Türkiye remained net exporters, with Türkiye increasing its exports by 4.79% while Serbia’s exports decreased by 5.75%. Bulgaria maintained its net exporting status but with reduced exports to neighboring countries.

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